Sunday, May 10, 2009

The Underlying Financial Problem


While there’s plenty of blame to go around as to why are in so much trouble financially, the underlying time bomb that overshadows the others by a mile is the unregulated market for credit default swaps or CDS’s. Today on NPR, Peruvian economist Hernando de Soto came up with a number nearly twice the size of the one I was using. These unregulated private deals are thought by him to total about $1.2 quadrillion. US$1,200,000,000,000,000.00. There isn’t that much money in the world. The world economy is, well, smaller than that. Like 4% of it; let’s use the World Banks figure of $48 trillion. The liabilities out there are worth a quarter century of total global output. Needless to say, a trillion here and a trillion there will not correct this massive house of cards.

The graphic above shows what a quadrillion pennies would look like. Multiple by 120, and that's the debt we're talking.

Dog help us.

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